EURO 2024 Austria v Turkey Match Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

Recent Form and Key Players


Turkey has had a commendable run in the group stages, showcasing their defensive discipline and ability to score crucial goals. Managed by Şenol Güneş, Turkey has built a team that is hard to break down and dangerous on the counter.


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Key Players:

  • Hakan Çalhanoğlu: The Inter Milan midfielder is Turkey’s creative force, known for his vision, set-piece prowess, and ability to dictate the tempo of the game.
  • Cengiz Ünder: The winger provides pace and creativity on the flanks, capable of breaking down defenses with his dribbling and crossing.
  • Çağlar Söyüncü: The Leicester City defender is the cornerstone of Turkey’s defense, known for his strength, tackling, and aerial ability.


Austria has also impressed in the group stages, showing tactical versatility and solid team performances. Managed by Ralf Rangnick, Austria combines experience with youthful exuberance, making them a balanced and formidable opponent.

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Key Players:

  • David Alaba: The Real Madrid defender is a key player for Austria, providing leadership and versatility, capable of playing in defense or midfield.
  • Marcel Sabitzer: The Bayern Munich midfielder is known for his work rate, passing, and goal-scoring ability, making him a central figure in Austria’s midfield.
  • Marko Arnautović: The experienced forward offers physicality and finishing skills, leading the line for Austria with his presence and goal threat.

Tactical Analysis

Turkey’s Tactical Approach

Turkey typically lines up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which allows for a solid defensive setup while providing options in attack. Güneş’s strategy focuses on maintaining a compact defensive shape and hitting teams on the break.

Defensive Strategy: Turkey’s defense is anchored by Çağlar Söyüncü and Merih Demiral, forming a robust central defensive partnership. The full-backs, often Mert Müldür and Umut Meraş, provide additional defensive support and aid in transitioning to attack. The midfield duo, typically consisting of Ozan Tufan and Okay Yokuşlu, adds defensive cover and helps in breaking up opposition play.

Offensive Strategy: In attack, Turkey relies on the creativity of Hakan Çalhanoğlu to unlock defenses, with Cengiz Ünder and Kenan Karaman providing width and pace on the wings. The lone striker, often Burak Yılmaz, uses his experience and physical presence to hold up play and finish chances.

Austria’s Tactical Approach

Austria generally adopts a flexible 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation, allowing for fluidity in attack and solid defensive coverage. Rangnick’s approach emphasizes high pressing, quick transitions, and utilizing the full width of the pitch.

Defensive Strategy: Austria’s defense, led by David Alaba and Martin Hinteregger, is organized and difficult to break down. The full-backs, often Stefan Lainer and Andreas Ulmer, provide additional defensive support and contribute to the attack. The midfield, anchored by Florian Grillitsch, ensures defensive stability and quick ball recovery.

Offensive Strategy: In midfield, Marcel Sabitzer orchestrates play, supported by the dynamic runs of Konrad Laimer and Xaver Schlager. The front three, led by Marko Arnautović, use pace, creativity, and clinical finishing to break down defenses. Arnautović’s ability to hold up play and bring others into the attack adds an extra dimension to their play.

Key Matchups

  1. Hakan Çalhanoğlu vs. David Alaba: This midfield battle will be crucial. Çalhanoğlu’s creativity and set-piece ability against Alaba’s defensive skills and versatility will be a key factor in determining the flow of the game.
  2. Cengiz Ünder vs. Stefan Lainer: The duel on the flank between Ünder’s pace and dribbling against Lainer’s defensive discipline will be pivotal. This matchup could determine Turkey’s success in creating chances from the wings.
  3. Burak Yılmaz vs. Martin Hinteregger: Yılmaz’s physical presence and goal-scoring ability will be tested against Hinteregger’s defensive acumen. This matchup could be decisive in determining Turkey’s effectiveness in the final third.

Betting Tips

  1. Under 2.5 Goals: Given the defensive strengths of both teams and their tactical setups, betting on under 2.5 goals in the match is a plausible option. Both teams are likely to prioritize defensive solidity, making this a likely outcome.
  2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Considering the offensive capabilities of both teams, betting on both teams to score (BTTS) is a sound choice. The odds for this market are generally favorable and reflect the attacking prowess of both sides.
  3. Correct Score – Turkey 1-1 Austria: Predicting a correct score is always challenging, but a 1-1 draw aligns with the balanced nature of both teams. This bet offers attractive odds and is consistent with the expected competitive nature of the match.
  4. First Goalscorer – Marko Arnautović: With his current form and role in Austria’s attack, betting on Arnautović to be the first goalscorer could yield good returns. His ability to score crucial goals makes him a constant threat.

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The Turkey vs. Austria match is expected to be a closely fought contest, with both teams bringing their best to the pitch. Austria, with their blend of experience and tactical discipline, are slightly favored to win. However, Turkey’s resilience and tactical approach make them a formidable opponent.

Final Prediction: Turkey 1-1 Austria

This prediction takes into account both teams’ defensive strengths and balanced attacking capabilities. A draw seems the most likely outcome, reflecting the competitive nature of the match.

Andrew Wall

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