EURO 2024 Italy v Switzerland Match Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

On June 29, 2024, football fans around the world will be treated to a thrilling clash between Italy and Switzerland in the Euro 2024 tournament. This match, taking place at the iconic Allianz Arena in Munich, is poised to be a high-stakes encounter with both teams vying for a spot in the quarter-finals.

Italy, the reigning European champions, have a storied history in international football, known for their tactical acumen, defensive solidity, and ability to perform under pressure. Switzerland, on the other hand, has steadily risen in the ranks of European football, demonstrating a blend of resilience, tactical discipline, and attacking flair. This match promises to be a captivating contest, pitting Italy’s strategic brilliance against Switzerland’s formidable consistency.


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Recent Form and Key Players


Italy enters this match following a dramatic group stage. The Azzurri, under the guidance of coach Luciano Spalletti, showcased their resilience and fighting spirit, particularly highlighted by Mattia Zaccagni’s crucial late goal against Croatia to secure a 1-1 draw. Despite a few defensive hiccups due to the retirements of stalwarts like Leonardo Bonucci and Giorgio Chiellini, Italy’s defensive structure remains largely intact, supported by the emerging talents of Alessandro Bastoni and Giovanni Di Lorenzo.

Key Players:

  • Nicolo Barella: The Inter Milan midfielder has been a lynchpin in Italy’s setup, known for his energy, vision, and ability to contribute both defensively and offensively.
  • Federico Chiesa: Chiesa’s pace and creativity on the wings provide Italy with a dynamic attacking option, capable of unsettling even the most organized defenses.
  • Mattia Zaccagni: The Lazio forward’s knack for scoring crucial goals makes him a player to watch, especially in high-pressure situations.


Switzerland has been impressive throughout the group stages, maintaining an unbeaten streak with a mix of wins and draws. Their performance against Germany, where they secured a 1-1 draw, highlighted their ability to compete against top-tier teams. Under the stewardship of Murat Yakin, Switzerland has blended defensive solidity with attacking efficiency, making them a formidable opponent.

Key Players:

  • Granit Xhaka: The captain and midfield general, Xhaka’s leadership and distribution are crucial to Switzerland’s game plan.
  • Breel Embolo: Known for his strength and pace, Embolo’s ability to hold up play and his goal-scoring prowess are vital for Switzerland’s attack.
  • Dan Ndoye: The young forward has been in fine form, consistently creating and converting opportunities, making him a key threat.

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Tactical Analysis

Italy’s Tactical Approach

Italy traditionally employs a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing a strong defensive base combined with quick, incisive counter-attacks. Under Spalletti, the Azzurri have also shown a propensity to control possession and dictate the tempo of the game. The midfield trio of Jorginho, Barella, and Marco Verratti provides a balance of creativity, defensive coverage, and ball control, allowing Italy to transition smoothly from defense to attack.

The full-backs, particularly Di Lorenzo, play a crucial role in providing width and supporting the wingers. Chiesa and Zaccagni’s ability to cut inside from the flanks creates additional goal-scoring opportunities and opens up space for overlapping runs from the full-backs.

Defensive Strategy: Italy’s defense, despite recent vulnerabilities, relies heavily on maintaining a compact shape and pressing aggressively in midfield to regain possession. Bastoni’s aerial prowess and tackling ability, combined with Di Lorenzo’s speed and positioning, form the backbone of their defensive setup.

Switzerland’s Tactical Approach

Switzerland typically lines up in a 3-4-3 formation, which allows them to be flexible in both defense and attack. This formation enables them to have a strong defensive core with three central defenders, while the wing-backs provide width and support both in defense and attack. In possession, Switzerland looks to play through the midfield, utilizing Xhaka’s passing range to switch play and create opportunities.

The front three, led by Embolo, are tasked with pressing the opposition high up the pitch, disrupting their build-up play, and capitalizing on any defensive errors. Ndoye and Xherdan Shaqiri provide creativity and goal-scoring threats from the flanks, making Switzerland’s attack multifaceted and challenging to defend against.

Defensive Strategy: Switzerland’s defense is built on organization and discipline. The three central defenders, often Fabian Schär, Manuel Akanji, and Nico Elvedi, are adept at dealing with aerial threats and maintaining a high defensive line to catch opponents offside. The wing-backs drop deep to form a back five when out of possession, making it difficult for opponents to penetrate their defense.

Key Matchups

  1. Nicolo Barella vs. Granit Xhaka: This midfield battle will be crucial in determining the flow of the game. Barella’s dynamic playmaking and Xhaka’s defensive solidity and leadership will be central to their respective teams’ strategies.
  2. Federico Chiesa vs. Ricardo Rodriguez: Chiesa’s pace and dribbling ability against Rodriguez’s defensive experience and positioning will be a key duel on the flank. Chiesa’s ability to get past Rodriguez could create significant opportunities for Italy.
  3. Breel Embolo vs. Alessandro Bastoni: Embolo’s physicality and goal-scoring ability will be tested against Bastoni’s defensive acumen. This matchup could be pivotal in determining Switzerland’s success in breaking down Italy’s defense.

Betting Tips

  1. Over 0.5 Goals in the First Half: Both teams have shown the ability to score early in matches. Betting on over 0.5 goals in the first half, with odds around 1.60, seems a safe bet considering the attacking talents on display​ (​​ (Squawka)​​ (Betting Tips X)​.
  2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Given the offensive capabilities and recent form of both teams, betting on both teams to score (BTTS) could be a profitable option. The odds for this market are generally favorable, reflecting the likelihood of goals from both sides.
  3. Correct Score – Italy 2-1 Switzerland: Predicting a correct score is always challenging, but considering Italy’s slight edge in quality and Switzerland’s resilience, a 2-1 victory for Italy is a plausible outcome. This bet offers attractive odds and aligns with the expected competitive nature of the match.
  4. First Goalscorer – Mattia Zaccagni: With his recent form and knack for scoring crucial goals, betting on Zaccagni to be the first goalscorer could yield good returns. His role in Italy’s attack makes him a constant threat in front of goal.

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The Italy vs. Switzerland match is expected to be a closely fought contest, with both teams bringing their best to the pitch. Italy, with their blend of experience and emerging talents, are slightly favored to win. However, Switzerland’s consistency and ability to perform against top teams cannot be underestimated.

Final Prediction: Italy 2-1 Switzerland

This prediction takes into account Italy’s tactical prowess, key players’ form, and their ability to perform under pressure. Switzerland will undoubtedly challenge them, but Italy’s overall quality and depth should see them through to the next round.

Andrew Wall

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